Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $500,075$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{544,531.6}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 145.4)}}\) (asimptote \(544,531.6\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $28,544$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,933.8}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 171.1)}}\) (asimptote \(36,933.8\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $65,142$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $402,330$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{498,432.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 180.3)}}\) (asimptote \(498,432.0\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,852$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,882.9}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 150.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,882.9\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $56,321$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $290,493$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,980$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $59,855$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $105,890$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{94,896.0}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 128.1)}}\) (asimptote \(94,896.0\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,038$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,110.7}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 138.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,110.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,012$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $49,230$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{45,478.0}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 121.5)}}\) (asimptote \(45,478.0\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,085$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,184.4}{1 + 10^{-0.768 (t - 106.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,184.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,918$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $75,614$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{80,700.8}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 158.4)}}\) (asimptote \(80,700.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $275$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{263.6}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 133.8)}}\) (asimptote \(263.6\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,090$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $111,116$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{112,177.0}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 143.1)}}\) (asimptote \(112,177.0\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $658$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{593.3}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 80.7)}}\) (asimptote \(593.3\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,190$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $339,267$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333,998.9}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 105.4)}}\) (asimptote \(333,998.9\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,043$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,070.3}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 118.6)}}\) (asimptote \(5,070.3\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,894$ on 2020-10-11